Mar, 10, 2023.
China has been in a unique position in AI for many years. It is no secret that China has invested a lot in innovative AI technologies, such as facial recognition, autonomous vehicles, robotics, and research. That was not the case fifteen years ago, of course, because the USA was leading the world in the field of AI.
Finding unbiased information about the Cold War-era tech and AI arms race between the United States and China is a challenging task. But what will it look like in 20 years? China, in my opinion, is in a far stronger position.
China's distinct legislative restriction of AI is a benefit in developing AI that works well with the growing consumer experience on a large scale. Americans have a hard time understanding this since they still prefer using credit cards to QR codes for purchases and because the adoption of facial recognition in public transportation, banks, and retail has been rather sluggish.
When it comes to investing in the future development of AI technology, the United States and Europe are far behind. Compared to China's focus in this area, I think we'll see more of this in the next 50 years.
China Represents the Future of Rising Tech
Currently, China is leading the world in 37 of 44 emerging technologies, whereas the West is losing the global competition for research output, space, energy, and biotechnology. The top 10 research facilities in the globe are all located in China, according to a survey by the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI).
Many experts believe that the window of American dominance is closing fast, and China represents a “Monopoly risk” in many fields. The table below shows the lead countries and technology monopoly risk.
High-Risk areas of Chinese Monopoly
- Quantum Communications, Blockchain, and 6G integration in infrastructure.
- Computer vision, facial recognition, and related surveillance capitalism.
- Military applications of Quantum and AI technologies.
- Drones and autonomous Swarm technology.
- Hypersonic missiles and weapons.
- AI and Blockchain.
- Quantum Sensing.
- Hydrogen Power.
- Synthetic Biology.
- EV batteries and EV automotive industry.
- 6G and smart cities.
The United States can claim to be investing in artificial intelligence, blockchain, quantum computing, and synthetic biology. But this only encourages China to innovate and grow even more quickly. Strangely, Microsoft's considerable contribution to China's AI sector growth has gone primarily unacknowledged in American media. Microsoft's latest $10 billion investment in OpenAI has been hailed as a true innovation. Nonetheless, Microsoft's operation in China benefits China as most of Microsoft Research's AI experts are Chinese. What does that mean for the future of AI development in the United States?
With almost complete infiltration into American technology and modern tech, the top firms and research institutions in the U.S. probably have Chinese spies within them. Over the past ten years, much has been disclosed about China's deceptive strategies to advance in technology, including corporate espionage, IP theft, and dishonest business practices.
The Technological Singularity Happens in China
It is anticipated that China will become the leading innovator without duplicating, stealing, or copying other nations' technologies. This is when a severe gap happens on a diplomatic scale between what China can do vs. the U.S. regarding global impact economically, politically, and in terms of military power. A decade separates us from that moment. However, there is a good chance that China will displace the United States as the dominant economic and technological force in the twenty-first century due to its superiority in several fields.
Research shows that the USA led global research in high-performance computing, quantum computing, and vaccines. However, China will ultimately be the global leader. China will soon be about a decennium ahead of the U.S. regarding the amount of AI research. China will be predominant by the time the great convergence of technological advancement happens in the 21st century. This means China will possess the AI superiority in biotechnology, space technology, robotics, quantum AI, and supercomputing. Therefore, in the 21st century, the technological singularity will happen in China.